GOTW: Doncaster v Charlton

To start this week’s post, the same announcement I’ve posted on Buzzin’ Championship Football this week.

Due to a major change in my professional life, for the next few weeks I’ll be posting on an ‘as and when’ basis due to being a lot busier than normal. I’m going to aim to post something at least once a fortnight, so please bear with me.

Doncaster v Charlton

Something of a rarity, this. Three of the five visits that Charlton have made to Doncaster since the mid 1930s have been since September 2008 and they’ve resulted in one win each and a draw.

On Tuesday Rovers blew their chance of reducing the gap between them and the Addicks when they lost at Shrewsbury. It remains to be seen if their ‘short’ week will catch up with them at the Keepmoat tomorrow, but they’re currently on an eight game home unbeaten run: the problem is that in their three previous home games against the teams above them this season they’ve only recorded one win – against Luton way back in September.

Since Christmas Charlton have only won two of their six roadtrips (against Shrewsbury and Wimbledon), but they’ve only lost once in 2019. They could still make a run at automatic promotion but another season of not being t.good enough is on the cards. Combined with yet another twist in the ownership saga that came this week, Addicks fans may have resign themselves to the old adage that there’s always next year.

There are two other games tomorrow that will feature teams at opposite ends of the table: Luton host Rochdale, whilst Bradford travel to Portsmouth. with a seven point lead and twelve games left it’s possible that Luton’s apparently inexorable march back to the second tier could still fall flat, but I doubt that Rochdale are the team to cause an upset. Bradford travel to Fratton Park with Martin Drury in charge on a caretaker basis after David Hopkin resigned after six months in the post; Pompey haven’t won since New Year’s Day and you need to go back to the season they were last relegated from League One to find the last time that happened. If this run continues they could drop our of the playoff places before the end of the season.

If you’re near a TV set at lunchtime tomorrow, Southend v Barnsley is being televised on Sky Sports Football/Main event at 12:30pm GMT. Southend’s last win at Roots Hall was on New Years day whilst the Tykes are on a fourteen game unbeaten run, having not lost an away game since a 1-0 defeat at Wycombe in mid-December. Since the turn of the century – and despite having six attempts to do so – Southend have only beaten Barnsley once in Essex.

See you soon!

FA Cup Fifth Round Preview

We’ve reached that time of year where I have to split the posts between the League and the FA Cup.

The best scenario for both of the remaining League One clubs is earning a shot at the semi finals – a tall order, but at least they both have home ties this weekend.

AFC Wimbledon v Millwall (tomorrow, 3pm, no TV coverage)

Only other meeting in the FA Cup was just over nine years ago, when Millwall won 4-1 at the New Den and current Lions boss Neil Harris was on the scoresheet. AFC Wimbledon have never beaten Millwall in four previous attempts. Haven’t won at home in League One since Boxing Day and have scored just once in their last four home league games: it’s almost four hours since Joe Pigott scored against Barnsley. Having reached the Fourth Round or better in half of the last ten seasons, Millwall are no mugs when it comes to the FA Cup even though they’ve not won an away tie for almost six years and have recorded just one away win in the Championship this season.

Doncaster v Crystal Palace (Sunday, 4pm, BBC 1)

First meeting in the FA Cup, but the story here is how bad Palace have been at Doncaster over the years. The last time they beat Rovers in South Yorkshire was almost 60 years ago and even though it’s just over seven years since they last met, Doncaster have won four of the last six games against Palace when they’ve had home advantage. Rovers have had a four game home unbeaten streak and have had a relatively straightforward route to this round, although it’s the first time the hosts have played PL opposition since they lost 3-1 to Stoke three years ago.

Verdict: I wouldn’t be surprised of both of these games end all square, but I think there’s more chance of that happening at the Keepmoat Stadium. I also wouldn’t be surprised if Millwall win convincingly.

There are ten league games this weekend: Sky Sports are clearly feeling left out of the FA Cup because there are two televised League One games this weekend: Sunderland v Accrington Stanley this evening (7:45pm Sky Sports Football/Main Event) and Southend v Portsmouth (tomorrow, 12:30, Sky Sports Football/Main Event). None of the remaining matches would have been in the running for game of the week, but there are a couple of interesting ones: Charlton can put more pressure on Portsmouth and Sunderland by beating Blackpool at The Valley, I’ve got a feeling that Luton might not find Fleetwood in the mood to roll over and even though there are sixteen points dividing them, Oxford might fancy their chances against Peterborough.

Back next week, if there are any surprises I’ll update this post over the weekend. 

All Change At The Top

Isn’t it amazing how quickly things can turn round in a few weeks?

Liverpool and Leeds have both been caught from behind in the Premier League and the Championship, but arguably the biggest transformation has been at the top of League One.

Exactly a month ago Luton were five points behind Portsmouth with Barnsley in fifth place: now the Hatters are six points clear of the Tykes with Pompey now in the first of the playoff spots.

Portsmouth’s recent decline in form needn’t be fatal but considering something similar happened to them last season – they were in the playoffs in January but were mid-table in mid-March – it remains to be seen if Kenny Jackett’s team has learned from that experience. Having been knocked out of the FA Cup earlier this week, the only other competition they’re involved in is the EFL Trophy but with the semi finals at the end of the month, should Pompey be concentrating on the league?

Barnsley and Luton have been on fire recently – the Hatters unbeaten streak goes back to October when (ironically) they lost at Barnsley – and the Tykes haven’t lost since before Christmas and haven’t been beaten at Oakwell in the league since last March.

There aren’t any obvious candidates for the Game of the Week this weekend, but there are three where the outcome could change the landscape at the the bottom of the table. Bristol Rovers host Shrewsbury: the Gas have only lost twice since Darrell Clarke left in December but haven’t won at home since Graham Coughlan took over. Despite their recent FA Cup heroics, Shrewsbury haven’t won a game since beating Coventry before Christmas.

Barnsley travel to Gillingham, where they’ve only lost twice in seven visits since 1980 – knowing that both Portsmouth and Sunderland could overtake them with wins at Plymouth and Oxford respectively. Gillingham haven’t won a league match at Priestfield since  beating Portsmouth on Boxing Day – the only time so far this season that they’ve beaten any of the top six at home. Oxford are currently on a run of four games without defeat but are still paying for a poor start to the season and they haven’t beaten Sunderland at home since December 1991.

Following the FA Cup replays earlier this week, AFC Wimbledon and Doncaster will be the only clubs from League One left in the competition and although I’ll return to the competition in next weekend’s post, it’s fair to say that home ties in the Fifth Round would have been something that both sides would have probably been happy with when they entered the competition back in November.

Back next week!

Back To The Future For Posh

A lot to get through this week, so let’s start with an old fashioned FA Cup shock:

Wimbledon’s reward in the Fifth Round: a home tie against Millwall. Let’s not forget Doncaster, who beat Oldham and have been drawn against Crystal Palace in their first Fifth Round tie since 1956.

Next week’s replays should be interesting: Wolves v Shrewsbury (the winner will travel to Bristol City) and QPR v Portsmouth, with the prospect of a home tie against Watford.

Away from the FA Cup, the big news was that Steve Evans was replaced as manager of Peterborough by Darren Ferguson. Evans had been in the job for just under a year and although the timing was a surprise, it’s not hard to see why Darragh MacAnthony made the decision. As I mentioned a few weeks ago, I think the expectation at London Road was that Evans should have been pushing for automatic promotion at this point in the season but the fact that Posh don’t seem to have made any noticeable progress under Evans since he was appointed hadn’t gone unnoticed.

The decision to appoint Ferguson for the third time in the last dozen years seems to have been driven by nostalgia rather than ability. Fergie Junior left Peterborough almost exactly four years ago with the club in 15th place but only four points off the playoff spots; it’s been six years since Peterborough were relegated from the Championship and since then they’ve finished no higher than sixth. Added to that is his record at Doncaster, whom he left last summer: on his appointment there he was supposed to have turned Donny into ‘a sustainable Championship club’, which presumably didn’t include a spell in League Two.

Overall, this looks a lot like clutching at straws to me. I’ll give it until Christmas.

Just a couple of games to monitor this weekend: Shrewsbury host leaders Luton at the New Meadow. Under any other circumstances the Shrews could be forgiven for having one eye on their FA Cup replay at Wolves next week, but it’s only goal difference that’s keeping them out of the bottom four at the moment and with matches against Doncaster and Peterborough to come this month they really do need to concentrate on the league.

AFC Wimbledon’s win last weekend is even more remarkable when you consider that they’re eight points away from safety and hadn’t won at home since Boxing Day. The win at Wycombe just before Christmas snapped a seven consecutive game streak without an away victory, but they’ve lost three of their four away matches against the sides currently in the top six whilst Sunderland haven’t lost at home in the league this season.

FA Cup Fourth Round Preview

Another eventful game of the week last weekend – will red cards in Luton’s games become a theme:

That’s Peterborough’s third defeat in their last five games and currently leaves them in a kind of no-man’s land competing for the last playoff position with Doncaster. Portsmouth surprisingly lost at Oxford, which means Luton are just two points away from overtaking Pompey.

Due to participation by  League One clubs in games in two different competitions this weekend, I’ve split the post into two sections this week – starting with the FA Cup. The preview for Gillingham‘s game at Swansea will appear on Buzzin’ Championship Football: all games are 3pm kick offs on Saturday afternoon unless stated.

Accrington Stanley v Derby County (12:30pm, BT Sport 2)

Reaching this round equals Accrington’s best performance in the competition: Stanley have reached the Fourth Round twice before, most recently in 2017. The last time Derby played a competitive game in Accrington was against the previous version of Stanley in November 1956 – a goalless draw in the old Third Division South during the period where ‘The Owd Reds’ were arguably at their best, narrowly missing out on promotion to the old Second Division on a couple of occasions.

Unsurprisingly given the comparative records of the teams since then, this is their first meeting in any competition since then.

Shrewsbury v Wolves

First meeting at the Meadow in the FA Cup for 40 years, but the most recent game between the clubs in Shropshire was in September 2013 when Wolves won 1-0. Shrews reached the Fifth Round a couple of seasons ago, but before that you’ve got to go back to 1991 for a similar feat – they lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal – and I think they’ll have to be satisfied with a similar result in this one.

Doncaster Rovers v Oldham Athletic

This is probably Rovers’ best chance of reaching the Fifth Round since 1956! This game will be their sixth meeting in the FA Cup in the last 12 years, the last contest was in Yorkshire was in November 2007 when Oldham won a replay.

Portsmouth v QPR

This game suddenly represents a dilemma for the hosts: with their lead cut to a point, what should Kenny Jackett’s side concentrate on for the rest of the season? The last time Pompey got past this round they were beaten finalists, but it’s been over 20 years sine they last beat QPR in any competition at Fratton Park. I still think there’s a potential surprise here: QPR have only won one of their last six away games in the Championship and one of their last seven road trips in the FA Cup over the past decade.

AFC Wimbledon v West Ham (Saturday. 7:45pm BT Sport 1)

It’s the first ever appearance in the Fourth Round for the Wombles; The only previous meeting between the teams was last August in the League Cup. West Ham won 3-1 and that sort of result looks as if it could be repeated.

It’s probably just as well that this is an FA Cup weekend because otherwise Peterborough v Charlton would have been game of the week and that would have been the Peterbough’s fifth appearance in that category this season. I’m going to ignore the Posh angle this week as I’ve not mentioned The Addicks for a while: they’ve lost half of their last ten aways but they’re currently on a nine game unbeaten streak at the Valley that’s kept them in playoff contention. Over the last nine years the clubs have met four times in the league: both teams have won twice, but Charlton haven’t won at London Road since November 2010.

If anything surprising happens in the cup, I’ll update ASAP otherwise I’ll be back next Friday.

GOTW: Luton v Peterborough

Last weekend’s game of the week was an eventful one…

Chris Maguire’s red card was overturned after the Netflix crew making a documentary about Sunderland was able to provide evidence that the punishment was unnecessary. So that’s alright then.

The outcome didn’t have that much bearing on the top of the table – Charlton and Peterborough both won, but the biggest surprise was Portsmouth‘s home defeat by Blackpool. Pompey’s lead is now down to four points.

At the bottom it was more or less a case of ‘as you were’ although Wimbledon cannot escape the bottom four this weekend, partly due to Plymouth‘s unexpected win at Southend.

On to this weekend’s game of the week.

Luton v Peterborough

‘Oh not them again’ I thought when I flagged this game up, but although this is the fourth time Peterborough have been selected this season, it’s only the second time – including last week – that Luton have been chosen.

The Hatters’ home form has been impressive – they haven’t conceded a goal at Kenilworth Road since Joel Grant managed a consolation strike for Plymouth in mid November! The draw with Barnsley on New Year’s Day ended a seven game wining streak, but despite those stats there’s also a very obvious issue that could undermine their promotion bid: they’ve not won any of the games they’ve played against the teams currently in the top seven. Ten days after this game, they host Portsmouth.

Until their recent resounding win at Accrington, Peterborough hadn’t won on the road since the end of October and have played five games without keeping an away clean sheet. The Posh have only lost one of their three away games against the teams above them – so why are they ten points behind Portsmouth? The simple answer is that their home form hasn’t been up to scratch – they’ve only won three of their eight home games against teams in the bottom half of the table whereas Pompey have won five of the seven games against the same opponents at Fratton Park.

Luton haven’t beaten Peterborough at home since Boxing Day 2000: that  was one of only nine games the Hatters won that season, so it won’t come as any surprise to hear they were relegated at the end of 2000/2001. The most recent meeting between the clubs in Bedfordshire was a year ago, in a goalless draw in the EFL Cup. Speaking of cups, Luton were knocked out of the FA Cup by Sheffield Wednesday earlier this week, meaning that they’ve had a day’s less rest and that factor may have a significant impact on their chances of winning this.

Honourable mentions: Wimbledon v Barnsley and Oxford v Portsmouth. Both matches are hosted by teams in the bottom six who are facing opponents with ambitions of playing in the Championship next season; in fourteen of the sixteen previous games where the teams currently in the bottom six entertained teams currently in the top six, the visitors have won. So it should be plain sailing for the Tykes and Pompey…shouldn’t it?

I’ll be back next week, when the Fourth Round of the FA Cup will be in the spotlight.

GOTW: Sunderland v Luton

Five teams reached the Fourth Round of the FA Cup, with Gillingham making the headlines:

Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth beat Championship opposition. I thought Stanley were always going to give Ipswich a hard time and Norwich clearly have their eyes on the Premier League.

Luton and Shrewsbury will get a second crack of the whip after drawing with Sheffield Wednesday and Stoke respectively – this time Luton will be at home, so well done to those of you who spotted my mistake last week. However the team that’s probably got the best chance of reaching the fifth round is Doncaster, who also beat Championship opposition (Preston) but were then drawn against Oldham. More FA Cup action in a couple of weeks.

As for Burton‘s performance in the first leg of the League Cup semi final, it might be a good idea to just forget bout that. It wasn’t their heaviest ever defeat though.

Back to the league this weekend and here’s a quick recap of the holiday action:

Scunthorpe ‘won’ Christmas as they were only team to win all three games: if the Iron continue in that vein they’ll probably be playing at this level next season. Portsmouth, Doncaster and Sunderland all won five points but Luton were the big losers, picking up just two points and having to find a replacement for manager Nathan Jones, who joined Stoke City after Gary Rowett’s departure. That being said, the Hatters should reach the playoffs at the very least, but the post season is probably as far as Charlton and Barnsley can expect to go. As for Peterborough, they were sixth – the third time in six seasons they’ve been in that position at close of play on December 26th.

At the bottom, Gillingham and Oxford failed to win any points, with Plymouth and Wimbledon still look likely to go down.

This weekend’s game of the week is Sunderland v Luton – since they met at the start of the season at Kenilworth Road, The Black Cats have never been out of the top six and are poised to jump into the automatic promotion spots if any of their rivals make a mistake. On the other hand, Luton were seventeenth but since then they’ve lost only three of their subsequent 24 games which has pushed them to leapfrog Sunderland.

There are a number of factors in this game that make me think a Luton win is unlikely. Not only are Sunderland unbeaten at the Stadium of Light in League One this season, but the Hatters haven’t won at Sunderland since September 1973 (a few months after Sunderland won the FA Cup) and have only drawn four of the sixteen subsequent games on Wearside. Nathan Jones’ departure and a thirteen game unbeaten streak are also factors to take into account; all of Luton’s away defeats this season have been at sides in the top seven.

I’ll also be keeping an eye on Barnsley v Bradford – after a very poor start to the season, the Bantams have really started to turn it round recently and took six points from a possible nine over Christmas. This Yorkshire derby will be a real test for them: Bradford have only won one of their eleven games against the current top ten and although Barnsley are still undefeated at Oakwell, they’ve only drawn with both Plymouth and Wimbledon and this might be a very tricky game for them.

FA Cup Third Round Preview

Happy New Year!

Straight back into action with the Third Round of the FA Cup, which includes a number of tasty looking games – all of which are 3pm kick offs tomorrow unless stated.

Premier League Opposition:

Blackpool v Arsenal (BT Sport 2, 5:30pm Saturday)

Fifth meeting in the FA Cup – Arsenal have only won one of the previous four encounters, but it’s fair to say that Arsenal weren’t a global superpower when they last met in the competition. In 1969/70 both teams were in the First Division and Arsenal lost by the odd goal in five. This is  the first time they’ve met any competition for almost eight years – since Blackpool were in the Premier League.

Burnley v Barnsley (12:30pm, no TV coverage)

This is third encounter in the FA Cup although the last game at Turf Moor was February 1911. Tykes haven’t won at Turf Moor in over a decade. As you might expect, Barnsley’s record in FA Cup ties at Premier League teams isn’t that great, but a goalless draw at Luton on New Year’s Day indicates they won’t be pushovers, even though the Tykes haven’t won at Burnley for over a decade.

Also: Gillingham v Cardiff – Cardiff have other priorities than the FA Cup right now.

Championship Opposition:

I’ve covered the games featuring Accrington Stanley and Oxford on Buzzin’ Championship Football, but Luton v Sheffield Wednesday (12:30pm) and Middlesbrough v Peterborough  shouldn’t be ignored. The Hatters have never played Wednesday in the cup amd the last time The Owls won at Kenilworth Road was almost 30 years ago. It’s almost 44 years since Peterborough last played Middlesbrough in an FA Cup tie; following a goalless draw at London Road,  Posh lost the replay at Ayresome Park. The sides have met four times at Peterborough in the league since the turn of the century but the hosts haven’t won any of those contests.

Honourable mention: Norwich v Portsmouth.

All League One

Fleetwood v AFC Wimbledon

The sole guaranteed place in the Fourth Round and only the tenth meeting between these two, all of which have been since October 2012. Last August Fleetwood lost at home to Wimbledon for the first time in the series but since then the clubs have moved in opposite directions. Whoever wins will equal their best performance in the FA Cup – if you count AFC Wimbledon as a ‘new’ club, neither team has ever got past the third round of the competition.

Additionally, there’s one League game at the top of the table: Charlton v Sunderland would be a game of the week if it hadn’t been this weekend, but as I’ll be returning to EFL action next weekend I’ll take a look  at how that game impacts the top of the table at that point.

League One Christmas Preview 2019

Welcome to the 2019 Christmas Post.

For those of you that are new readers, it’s basically a chance to take a look at what might happen over the second half of the season based on what’s happened between August and December.

Before I go any further, there’s a League One team in the semi finals of the League Cup – here’s how Burton Albion did it:

Last week’s game of the week ended all square:

OK, now for the main course: any of the stats you read from this point on are based on the table follwing the Boxing Day fixtures over the last five seasons. The correlation between that table and the standings at the end of the season is arguably not as strong as it is in the Championship, but the overall trends are quite compelling.

At the top, you need to be in the top three in order to win promotion without taking part in the playoffs, but that’s not a guarantee. 60% of the teams that were in the top three at the end of play on December 26th went on to compete in the Championship at the start of the next season; in three of the last five seasons the team that lead the table on Boxing Day eventually finished in the top two. Although I’m not expecting Portsmouth to crash and burn dramatically, if the lack of goals that affected them in the latter half of last season happens again, they might find themselves in the playoffs.

Of the remainder, all but one qualified for the playoffs but got no further than that – including one club currently in the middle of League Two (Swindon) and one now playing in the National League (Leyton Orient). The exception to both cases: at close of play on December 26th 2014, Gillingham were third in the table, but only won six games in the second half of the season to eventually finish ninth.

As for the playoffs, the last three winners were all outside of the top six at the end of Boxing Day, but two of them were inside the top ten. There’s no need to go over the second half of Barnsley‘s 2015/16 season again – you can read it here – but suffice to say there’s always one team that makes a hash of the second half of the season, just as there’s always one that suddenly finds form and makes a run at the playoffs.

As for who that might be this season, if Fleetwood or Blackpool suddenly find a regular goalscorer or two they could find themselves in the mix.

Now off to the bottom of the table.

At least two of the clubs that have been relegated have been in the bottom six after the Boxing Day games have finished and in three of the last five seasons the club that’s bottom on 26/12 has been relegated – but unlike the Championship, this is not set in stone and there’s usually at least one club that’s had a mediocre start to the campaign turns into a disaster in second half.

As you’d expect, it’s normally teams in the bottom third of the table that are most at risk but there’s almost always an outlier: on Boxing Day 2013, Notts County were in eighth place and just two points outside the playoff positions, but they lost 14 of their next 25 games and were relegated. Five years later and the Magpies are in serious danger of losing their place in the Football League. Chesterfield – who were only below Notts County on goal difference on Boxing Day evening and only just missed out on the playoffs – are now fighting relegation from the National League.

This season there are a number of interesting angles in the battle against relegation: Wimbledon have the most to do, but sacking Neil Ardley was recognition that something needed to change, whereas Bristol Rovers might well regret not parting company with Darrell Clarke earlier than they did. It remains to be seen if Plymouth can pull off the same trick they managed last year (they’re only one point worse off than they were last season) and there are a couple of clubs who were playoff regulars over the last couple of seasons who are now struggling to avoid the drop, which brings me nicely on to the highlights of the holiday programme.

Saturday 22nd December

Portsmouth v Sunderland, Bradford City v Scunthorpe.

At the top of the Championship a few years ago there was a massive Boxing Day game between Cardiff and Crystal Palace that was a season defining game for both sides and – with no offense intended for Luton Town – the clash between the two pre-season favourites for promotion would normally have been game of the week. It’s the first time that they’ve have met in a league game for almost a decade (when both clubs were in the Premier League) and although Sunderland haven’t won at Portsmouth since November 1997, they’ve not lost any of the four games they’ve played this season against the other clubs currently in the top six. On the other hand, Portsmouth have only won half of their four games against the same opponents…

In the last few seasons, Bradford City v Scunthorpe would have been a top of the table clash: both clubs seem to have missed their chances of promotion to the Championship and now seem locked in a battle to avoid relegation. Whether that’s due to playoff hangovers, self destructive off field issues or a combination of both is a discussion for another day, but the facts are that despite winning their last two home games without conceding a goal, Bradford have only won two of their last six home league games against the Iron

Boxing Day

Scunthorpe v Luton, Sunderland v Bradford City, Wimbledon v Plymouth

The bottom of League One is hardly going to be the focal point of the public imagination on Boxing Day, but with three games featuring four of the teams currently in the bottom six, there may could well be some changes at the foot of the table. Spare a thought for the Luton and Plymouth fans making round trips of 320 and 424 miles respectively on Boxing Day. That makes the 109 mile journey from Bradford to Sunderland look like a trip to the corner shop.

So to sum up, if you’ve got time on Boxing Day evening to look at the tables:

  • There’s a good chance two of the top three clubs will be promoted.
  • There’s a good chance that most of the top six teams will at least reach the playoffs, but the actual playoff winners may not be in that group.
  • Two of the three teams that will be relegated will be in the bottom six, with the bottom team most likely to be playing in League Two next season.

I’ll be back at the start of 2019 with the FA Cup third round preview, but that’s me done for the year. Thanks for reading and Merry Christmas 🙂

GOTW: Barnsley v Portsmouth

Portsmouth failed to take the opportunity to take an unassailable lead into the Christmas period when they lost by the odd goal in three at Fratton Park on Tuesday night.

A win would have put them nine points ahead at the top, but as it stands they can’t be overtaken this weekend.

Last weekend Oxford continued their impressive run at Peterborough:

160 miles to the north west, a record crowd at Accrington was left disappointed when the game against Sunderland was abandoned by ref Oliver Langford with 15 minutes left – to be fair, the conditions were atrocious as you can see below:

Barnsley v Portsmouth

The Tykes have now gone three games without a win but still haven’t lost at home at Oakwell this season. They were second in mid October but their defence has let them down recently: no clean sheet in three games and the prospect of three consecutive defeats for the first time since the start of this year.

As I already mentioned, earlier this week Pompey suffered their first defeat since start of October but Portsmouth haven’t lost on the road this season and they’re favourites for automatic promotion. They’ve got a couple of huge games coming up over the next couple of weeks, but before you start thinking that this looks straightforward for the visitors, here’s something to ponder: since 1990, Portsmouth have only won once in 13 visits to Oakwell, with their last victory coming in a 4-1 win in September 2001.

The games at Charlton (against Wimbledon) and Sunderland (where Bristol Rovers are the visitors) could be worth monitoring: it was only a matter of time before Darrell Clarke left and the timing of his departure from the Memorial Ground was probably right. The Gas can’t escape the bottom four this weekend and never won a league game at Roker Park – Rovers have never played at the Stadium of Light – so why prolong the misery?

Next scheduled post is next Friday…and it’s the Christmas Special.